Pre-tourney Rankings
Central Arkansas
Southland
2012-13
Overall
Predictive Rating-9.1#301
Expected Predictive Rating-8.1#291
Pace83.3#3
Improvement-2.4#273

Offense
Total Offense-1.9#221
Improvement-3.3#304

Defense
Total Defense-7.2#330
Improvement+0.8#132
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2012 71   @ Arizona St. L 64-79 5%     0 - 1 -4.6 -10.4 +7.2
  Nov 21, 2012 150   Arkansas St. L 72-73 26%     0 - 2 -3.5 -2.1 -1.3
  Nov 24, 2012 286   Sacramento St. L 68-71 58%     0 - 3 -14.2 -9.2 -5.1
  Nov 28, 2012 271   @ Eastern Illinois W 74-72 29%     1 - 3 -1.3 +4.6 -5.7
  Dec 05, 2012 334   Tennessee Martin W 87-86 78%     2 - 3 -16.4 -2.4 -14.1
  Dec 08, 2012 225   @ Southeast Missouri St. W 88-85 20%     3 - 3 +2.6 +2.5 -0.2
  Dec 16, 2012 21   @ Oklahoma St. L 63-91 2%     3 - 4 -11.4 -9.8 +2.6
  Dec 22, 2012 237   Mississippi St. L 72-79 32%     3 - 5 -11.4 -7.6 -2.9
  Jan 03, 2013 288   @ Nicholls St. L 79-83 34%     3 - 6 0 - 1 -8.9 -7.6 -0.8
  Jan 05, 2013 280   @ SE Louisiana L 68-72 31%     3 - 7 0 - 2 -8.1 -5.3 -2.8
  Jan 10, 2013 83   Stephen F. Austin L 69-77 14%     3 - 8 0 - 3 -5.5 +2.7 -8.3
  Jan 12, 2013 131   Northwestern St. L 88-100 22%     3 - 9 0 - 4 -12.8 -0.4 -10.7
  Jan 17, 2013 235   @ Sam Houston St. L 52-63 22%     3 - 10 0 - 5 -12.0 -11.2 -2.2
  Jan 19, 2013 310   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi W 76-67 40%     4 - 10 1 - 5 +2.6 +2.8 +0.2
  Jan 24, 2013 299   McNeese St. W 103-98 3OT 62%     5 - 10 2 - 5 -7.3 -1.0 -7.5
  Jan 26, 2013 346   Lamar W 88-59 88%     6 - 10 3 - 5 +6.8 -8.4 +10.1
  Jan 31, 2013 280   SE Louisiana L 69-70 56%     6 - 11 3 - 6 -11.6 -11.8 +0.3
  Feb 02, 2013 288   Nicholls St. W 79-76 59%     7 - 11 4 - 6 -8.4 -7.2 -1.5
  Feb 07, 2013 83   @ Stephen F. Austin L 36-72 6%     7 - 12 4 - 7 -27.0 -26.4 -2.0
  Feb 09, 2013 131   @ Northwestern St. L 73-93 9%     7 - 13 4 - 8 -14.4 -14.2 +3.9
  Feb 14, 2013 310   TX A&M Corpus Christi L 68-75 64%     7 - 14 4 - 9 -19.9 -12.3 -7.5
  Feb 16, 2013 235   Sam Houston St. L 75-80 44%     7 - 15 4 - 10 -12.5 +0.8 -13.2
  Feb 19, 2013 163   @ Oral Roberts L 65-94 12%     7 - 16 4 - 11 -25.6 -17.8 -3.4
  Feb 23, 2013 306   SIU Edwardsville W 80-78 64%     8 - 16 -10.7 -1.8 -9.0
  Feb 28, 2013 346   @ Lamar W 106-99 2OT 74%     9 - 16 5 - 11 -8.7 -4.4 -6.4
  Mar 02, 2013 299   @ McNeese St. W 68-67 38%     10 - 16 6 - 11 -4.9 -9.2 +4.4
  Mar 09, 2013 163   Oral Roberts W 86-84 OT 28%     11 - 16 7 - 11 -1.1 +3.3 -4.5
  Mar 13, 2013 235   Sam Houston St. L 63-69 32%     11 - 17 -10.2 -5.6 -4.8
Projected Record 11.0 - 17.0 7.0 - 11.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 100.0% 100.0
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%